In its first year of official testing, the MPI system succeeded beyond all expectations! The record after the 2018 season was 54 wins, 41 losses, and 3 pushes. This is an impressive 56.84% (rounded to 57%) success against the spread in picking sides! As of this posting in mid-December, 2019, the record in 2019 is even better at 64.6%! Read more about it all on this site to see why it works. Of course, I will need a couple more years and over 300 games to really establish this, but we are on the right track and way ahead of progress already!
John F Murray, PhD
AKA The Football Shrink
FootballShrink.com is the culmination of Dr. John F Murray’s 16 years of research on the science of football performance. In the early 2000s, Dr. Murray invented a new statstic called “The Mental Performance Index,” or “MPI,” to comprehensively rate the performance of a football team including how well they had performed mentally. The purpose was to expand our precision in understanding football team performance in order to help coaches and teams perform better and win more games. This work resulted in a book also called “The Mental Performance Index” in 2011 and revised in 2013.
Beginning in 2013, Dr. Murray added a new dimension to the MPI by adapting it to predict future NFL games. After five years of serious research and analyses of nearly 10,000 NFL games over nearly 40 years, Dr. Murray began posting select picks each week of the 2018 NFL season and has made a total of 98 picks so far.
The absolute best football handicappers in the world average 52% success in picking sides against a known line. Dr. Murray believes he can do better, and FootballShrink.com is the site where his select picks are posted before games and archived to track progress. Dr. Murray’s picks fared very well in season one (57% success in 2018) and continued success will provide clear addional evidence about how important mental performance is in football and all sports. Since Dr. Murray’s predictions rely heavily upon an adapted version of the MPI, he believes this unique data allows him to do better than the best football handicappers in the world. Let the fun challenge continue in 2019 as we enter season two of making picks!